Hidden-Markov-Model on Aditya Kurniawan (Akur)https://akurniawan.github.io/tags/hidden-markov-model/Recent content in Hidden-Markov-Model on Aditya Kurniawan (Akur)Hugoen-usWed, 27 Aug 2025 00:00:00 +0700Bitcoin Regime Analysis, Part 2: What Each Feature Buys Youhttps://akurniawan.github.io/posts/btc_regime_modeling/Wed, 27 Aug 2025 00:00:00 +0700https://akurniawan.github.io/posts/btc_regime_modeling/Volatility buys long regimes with no direction. Volume buys direction but halves regime length. Fractional differencing buys length back and destroys direction completely. Every one of those is a trade, not an improvement.